U.S. stock index futures rose slightly on Thursday to close out a volatile and losing month for stocks.
Tech stocks bounced a bit in premarket trading after struggling this week because of a rapid rise in rates. The 10-year Treasury yield eased slightly in early trading.
Futures contracts tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 153 points, or 0.5%. S&P 500 futures added 0.4% and Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.5%.
Chip stocks bounced in premarket trading after losses in the prior session. Nvidia and Micron were higher. Facebook, Apple and Netflix were slightly higher in premarket trading.
Stocks also got a boost as Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said late Wednesday that the chamber had reached a deal to avoid a government shutdown this week. Schumer said he would schedule a vote on Thursday for the stopgap measure that would keep the government running into early December. The deal would still need to pass the House.
For the month, the Dow is down 2.7%, the S&P 500 is off by 3.6% and the Nasdaq Composite has shed 4.9%. September has lived up to its losing reputation with the market beset by fears of a China property crisis, rising inflation and a late interest rate surge sparked by the Federal Reserve signaling it would start removing stimulus soon.
“We wouldn’t get caught up in any end-of-quarter machinations today and continue to advise fading rallies (especially in tech) as the coming weeks will stay rocky,” wrote Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge.
The 10-year Treasury yield fell 3 basis points to 1.52% on Thursday (1 basis point equals 0.01%). The rate was at 1.30% to end August before surging to end this month.
September’s losses have led to a middling third quarter for the market. For the 3-month period, the Dow is slightly in the red, while the Nasdaq Composite is just about flat. The S&P 500 is up 1.4%. The S&P 500 is still up 16% on the year.
October has a reputation for some violent sell-offs but overall is typically the start of a better seasonal performance for stocks. The S&P 500 averages a 0.8% gain for the month, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac.
“September lived up to its reputation and dented stock portfolio returns, but not too badly,” wrote Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research. “There has been a lot of concern that higher wages, higher energy prices, and higher transportation costs will weigh on earnings for the remainder of this year and into 2022. It’s certainly something we’ll be tracking. But so far, analysts remain relatively sanguine.”
Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify to the House Financial Services Committee at 10 a.m. ET Thursday alongside Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. Powell told a European Central Bank panel on Wednesday that he was frustrated by persistent inflation.
“It’s also frustrating to see the bottlenecks and supply chain problems not getting better — in fact at the margins apparently getting a little bit worse,” Powell said. “We see that continuing into next year probably, and holding up inflation longer than we had thought.”
On the data front, initial jobless claims for the prior week will be released Thursday. Economists are expecting a print of 335,000, according to Dow Jones.
The Dow and S&P 500 inched higher during regular trading Wednesday. The 30-stock Dow advanced about 90 points for its fifth positive session in the last six, while the S&P 500 gained 0.16%, breaking a 2-day losing streak.
The Nasdaq Composite, meanwhile, declined 0.24% for its fourth straight negative session. The technology sector declined again on Wednesday and is now down 4% for the week, making it the worst-performing S&P group.
The tech decline came as the 10-year Treasury yield hit a high of 1.56% on Wednesday, after rising to 1.567% on Tuesday. The move higher is pressuring tech stocks since it makes future cash flows look less attractive.
Wells Fargo noted that pullbacks are to be expected. “This is a normal re-pricing of risk based on a higher cost of capital and greater market uncertainty,” the firm said Wednesday in a note to clients.
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